Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.207039 0.235659 0.266368 0.301717 0.341233 0.383993 0.433712
2025-11-09 0.164790 0.202231 0.245109 0.297663 0.360148 0.431861 0.520185
2025-11-16 0.135682 0.177833 0.228911 0.294973 0.377720 0.477472 0.606308
2025-11-23 0.114148 0.158766 0.215642 0.292794 0.393952 0.521206 0.692413
2025-11-30 0.100476 0.147409 0.210005 0.298568 0.419426 0.577187 0.797019
2025-12-07 0.087658 0.135209 0.201359 0.298669 0.436419 0.622373 0.889829
2025-12-14 0.077197 0.124788 0.193646 0.298650 0.452366 0.666305 0.982939
2025-12-21 0.068773 0.116183 0.187344 0.299544 0.468952 0.711408 1.079706
2025-12-28 0.062410 0.109874 0.183593 0.303469 0.489677 0.763053 1.188232
2026-01-04 0.057665 0.105516 0.182239 0.310613 0.515293 0.822864 1.311603
2026-01-11 0.052679 0.100113 0.178572 0.313538 0.534214 0.873314 1.423313
2026-01-18 0.048645 0.095841 0.176243 0.318208 0.555866 0.928746 1.545146
2026-01-25 0.045633 0.093232 0.176750 0.328107 0.587478 1.002865 1.702482
2026-02-01 0.041096 0.087266 0.170846 0.326514 0.599871 1.047105 1.815073
2026-02-08 0.037124 0.081872 0.165389 0.325126 0.612319 1.091926 1.930866
2026-02-15 0.033594 0.076897 0.160166 0.323595 0.624204 1.136228 2.047903
2026-02-22 0.031468 0.074512 0.159553 0.330390 0.651116 1.207115 2.212831
2026-03-01 0.028821 0.070689 0.155750 0.330765 0.666282 1.258460 2.346909
2026-03-08 0.026425 0.067096 0.152023 0.330891 0.680831 1.309274 2.482341
2026-03-15 0.024361 0.063980 0.148939 0.331953 0.697057 1.363710 2.626541
2026-03-22 0.022788 0.061796 0.147574 0.336304 0.719743 1.430789 2.796240
2026-03-29 0.021642 0.060482 0.147928 0.344165 0.749675 1.512496 2.995967
2026-04-05 0.020217 0.058301 0.146161 0.347386 0.770511 1.578222 3.169348